Out of the mouths of babes
When a building goes up in flames, the media reports a fire:
what it doesn’t do is report the smoke beforehand. Similarly, no one at the
moment is headlining the marked increase in property activity witnessed by
estate agents in the lead-up to Christmas. In fact, far from a seasonal
slowdown, there were more viewings in November than in September. There is no
smoke without fire, and with this pickup in activity, declining inflation and
the likelihood of some falling mortgage interest rates through 2024, we can
look forward to an improving property market in the coming months. No doubt
also, both Conservative and Labour parties will try to lure the electorate with
new housing policies designed to stimulate the property market further.
Nor is this optimism based solely on the above.
2023 saw increased interest from first-time buyers across the country. This
trend should continue as we emerge into a more buoyant market that also
stimulates second movers, thus making more first-time buyer properties
available. This would be the long-wished-for virtuous circle.
Most baby boomers and millennials consider
property as part-home and part-investment vehicle. For them property has been
the gift that has kept on giving, but let’s look at the property market from
the eyes of twenty-year-olds. For them the last decade has been challenging.
This group, often priced out of home ownership and suffering increasingly high
rents, says they aren’t looking for investment opportunities they’re simply
looking for somewhere to lay their heads. Out of the mouths of babes,
Generation Z reminds us that first and foremost a home is to live in.
Nor should we forget the role the older
generation is playing in this residential resurgence. Baby Boomers might not be
moving much themselves at the moment but in 2023 the Bank of Mum and Dad and
the Bank of Grandma and Grandpa invested over £8 billion in property: that’s
not personal investment but an investment in the futures of their children and
grandchildren.
2024 should be a year of looking forward and
growing opportunity. Above all it should be a time when property is purchased,
but mostly to live in rather than to trade in. Now that should give the media a
blazingly good headline.